Category: Storms

  • here we are in the years.  the eve of another thanksgiving day.

    here we are in the years. the eve of another thanksgiving day.


    here lately, in our years on the sea of life, we have entered into one of those stormy territories, where the swells are large and the waves are high making it a challenge to navigate, and the winds change and increase, then decrease, but we know we have not yet reached the eye, and we know that when we do, there will be more of the same, or worse, before the storm dissipates.  this is an illustration of how little control we actually have in our lives, and that we only can hope to control what each of us does, and how we respond to whatever is laid in our paths.

    we say that it’s life, but nonetheless, how to navigate it right now requires much in the order of calling up troubleshooting skills, interpretation skills like that of a fortune teller, and shields to protect against arrows that fly, and spears that are thrown, from those who are angry and just “getting it out of their systems” – the anger is so old and deep, that it might not be obvious the origin.  you can get hurt.  you will sustain lifelong scars.  will it kill you?  you do not know that. only God knows the answers. we pray that this is not part of the fallout.

    so, you appeal to God in prayers.  you might say, “hey God, i’m sorry that i haven’t been that attentive to my thankfulness and my gratitude lately.  i’m sorry that i have hurt people, not intending to do that, but somehow through my thoughts, words, and deeds where those landed and people felt that i was doing something against them.  you cannot predict or control how this goes.  grace, here lately, has not been something that people are considering much.  forgiveness is a concept that has not yet been included because it maybe is not time to do this for people who have felt hurt and down driven for a goodly period of time.  this would come much later.  usually.  if it does.

    web over webwe are here, the day before the big thanksgiving celebration and it is a somber one this year.  since this time a year ago, many things have transpired.  yet, we do need to think about those gifts in life for which we are grateful.  if we look outward, we see that we have many gifts.

    IMG_0248we have family, albeit some are in a period of instability.  we are grateful to be in their lives, and will pray for resolution and healing for their troubled times.

    we have our friends.  friendship is a rich gift of being a human in this life.  thanks are due for these friends.

    we have a sunny day, after an overnight storm.

    we have a roof over our heads, food on the table, and are not wearing rags and without shoes.

    we know people who are fighting illnesses who have lived another day, and are grateful and full of grace.  for those who lost their battles and have moved on, we are grateful for having them in our lives, as this was a gift to us.

    DCF 1.0

    Gus & Ell_38Sonny-1999

    we know people who are fighting instability in their lives, and we will pray for them. they have lost jobs, they are having relationship issues, or other problems in their lives.  we will pray for them to overcome these challenges.  having challenges as a human is part of living.  we pray that the challenges do not overcome us, but that we overcome them.

    IMG_6809most of all, we have love in our lives in many forms.  we have love in our hearts.  we do know that this comes from God’s universe and is within us, despite what we hear on the news, each of us has love within us.  we only need to call upon the power of love and what wonders it can do to heal mankind, if we let it in.

    on this eve of thanksgiving here in the USA, may the grace of God be upon you, within you, all over you and those with whom you are connected.  we watch and pray for goodness and strength for good to come and in the next cycle, to anticipate thankfulness for the gifts of love in our lives.

    November 23, 2016

  • it’s happening again. groundhog day.  we can’t really do much about it. stupid weather.

    it’s happening again. groundhog day. we can’t really do much about it. stupid weather.

    Look at this weather forecast:

    IMG_7892Not pretty.  Again?  Really?

    The mosquitoes are going to eat us alive.  We are going to have a big wet mess again if this really happens.  Here lately, it seems that we’ve ended up in an endless do-loop cycle of “unprecedented” weather events.

    Not happy about this.  I was going to get to see my grand-baby this weekend, but now the likelihood of the roads being “underwater” between here and there is growing in a predictable way – but you know, they will never say positively one way or the other – they will interpret the data and make their predictions.

    But just look at the facts, yourself.  Presently, the Brazos River continues to rise, as it still has not reached flood stage.  Evacuations are ongoing.  Today.  We are waiting on another report but in the meantime, the map here on the USGS WaterWatch (#WaterWatch) site has the latest info for you to visualize the WHERE of all of this wacked-out weather.

    Here is what the forecasters from our NWS are saying as of the latest forecast before this writing:

    Area forecast discussion
    National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
    1042 am CDT Wednesday Jun 1 2016

    Update…
    atmosphere is very moist with precipitable water of 1.7 to 1.8″
    this morning but this will be increasing throughout the afternoon
    and Thursday. Troughing along the coast to just off of crp will
    slowly lift north and help with storm development. Today expecting
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms and have raised
    probability of precipitation accordingly mainly over the central and eastern areas.
    Rainfall rates of 2″ per hour already going over Polk/Trinity
    counties this morning. Will raise a Flash Flood Watch across the
    area through Friday afternoon but may need extending.

    45

    &&

    Previous discussion… /issued /

    Discussion…
    southeastern Texas is readying itself for another few days of
    precipitation brought on by periods of locally moderate to heavy
    rainfall that will likely induce or aggravate regional flash and
    river flooding. All of the synoptic ingredients are in place, from
    the gradual spreading of the upper levels as jet level winds become
    more diffulent just ahead of the southwestern-settling mid to upper
    low to the Stout lower to mid level southeasterly 20-35 knot inflow
    feeding inland convection with near 2 inch precipitable waters.
    The devil is in the details as they say and this couldn’t be more
    true of a idiom than for US over the next several days. Yes,
    confidence is mounting that many across the region will experience
    a round or three of impressive rainfall (rates) that will again
    produce flooding and quite possibly various communities will be
    dealing with wind damage from either localized wet downbursts or
    weak tornadoes from passing strong thunderstorm clusters. As is
    the case with all of these anticipated potential severe weather
    events…the question of the exact timing and location of the most
    intense weather will go unanswered until either right before its
    passage or during the heat of battle itself. Although the vicinity
    (unfortunately southwestern-positioned) upper low and subsequent
    shortwave disturbances rotating around this main feature will
    ultimately be the impetus to inclement weather, it will be the
    mesoscale that determines the when and the where of the most
    severe rainfall and wind. Or, in other words, it will be that
    prior convection that drives future convective behavior and, if we
    can better pinpoint this on a 6 hour time line, then we may be
    able to more accurately convey a relatively higher confidence with
    a 12,or even 24, hour forecast.

    The target days for the highest rainfall will be from as early as
    today through as late as Saturday afternoon. This is the period in
    which the upper low currently digging down over the lower U.S.
    Southwest and the northern Mexico providences of Sonora and
    Chihuahua will nestle itself over Texas, particularly over eastern
    or south central state. With the highly moist ‘condition’ally
    unstable air mass already in place over the region, this scenario
    is the worse possible for US as it places eastern Texas under the
    best upper exhaust pattern for series of disturbances (the ‘conditional’)
    to generate lift and maintain an environment conducive to the
    formation of continual clusters of thunderstorms to slowly travel
    (train) over the area. Not expecting overall storm motion to be
    all that fast within a forecast weakly steered lower layer. As of
    now, the forecast calls for likely rain/storm chances commencing
    today and persisting through the weekend. There will be periods of
    either very light or no precipitation, especially if an mesoscale convective system travels
    across the County Warning Area and creates subsidence in its wake. A model and
    National center blend equates to an areawide 5 day quantitative precipitation forecast of between
    4 to 5 inches, locally higher with amounts of greater than 10
    inches certainly not out of the question. Of course, it will be
    those 1 inch amounts over 15 minutes across more urbanized landscapes
    that will be of the highest threat versus double digit rainfall
    over a span of several days.

    On a major side note…the city (iah) has not yet recorded a 90f
    degree day this year. If this forecast pans out and overcast with
    rainfall plagues the region through the weekend, then the city
    would likely not meet 90f for the remainder of the week. This
    would place 2016 in the top 5 if 90f was not met by Sunday (the
    latest day was on June 15th, 1897). 31

  • dark shadows. raindrops. new dimensions of running in storms.  welcome to our world.

    dark shadows. raindrops. new dimensions of running in storms. welcome to our world.

    person feet dipping on pool
    Photo by Sarah Schorer on Pexels.com

    It has been raining again – this year, it made the IronMan pretty rough for people, I imagine – lightning bolts or heat and humidity?  Not sure which is better.

    We did not have our usual deal of going out and cheering on the folks – I’m not a lightning bolt sort of girl… But, I was with them in spirit, for sure – hoping that they weren’t hurt and that they were able to achieve their goals.

    I saw the tail end of a “doco” that was talking about this place in Venezuela, South America that was picked-up on satellite with these unusually bright flashes – turns out it is intense storms caused by lots of unusual electrical activity – investigations generated an array of possible causes, including the possibility that gasses that come from bio-degradation of organic matter in Lake Maracaibo – in the region of the storm activity contain a kind of a cauldron of “bio-stew” – something that scientists have discussed at times as “primordial goo” – well, there ya go.  It appears to be a laboratory – Mother Nature as a mad scientist of sorts.

    Separate of that, it has been the warmest April on record.  Those non-believers out there who insist that climate science is a bunch of bunk really are going to be struggling, as no matter what – things are getting warmer and the storms more frequent – with sound effects and vivid lightning coming with, at odd times of the year, even.  After all, looking back on the holiday cards of your grandparents did you see tornadic thunderstorms on the backdrop behind the quaint houses and churches in those old scenes?  I think not.  Santa didn’t wear Hawaiian shirts, either.  But he might in the future…